In Pakistan today, over 40% of the population lives below the poverty line, and the skyrocketing electricity prices are exacerbating the situation. The burden of these high costs is felt keenly by the middle class, who are struggling to pay their bills amidst rising prices of daily essentials. Public outcry and protests have been widespread, yet the government appears unmoved, unable or unwilling to provide relief to its citizens.
The Role of Independent Power Producers (IPPs)
Tariq Aqil, writing in the weekly Friday Times, highlights the significant role played by Independent Power Producers (IPPs) in Pakistan’s energy sector. He points out that the introduction of IPPs dates back to the early 1990s during Nawaz Sharif’s government, with the establishment of the Hub Power Company (HUBCO) as the first IPP in Pakistan. Since then, numerous IPPs have entered into contracts with the government to supply electricity, contributing to a substantial portion of the country’s power generation capacity.
Aqil notes, “The Hub Power Company, established in 1991, remains the largest power producer in Pakistan with a capacity of 3581 MW.” This highlights the pivotal role of foreign investors like Blackstone, Finback Investment Partners, and others in Pakistan’s energy landscape. Despite their contribution to capacity, concerns have arisen over the cost implications associated with IPP contracts.
Escalating Electricity Rates and Public Backlash
Over recent years, electricity rates have surged from Rs 24 to nearly Rs 76 per unit. Aqil attributes this dramatic increase to rising generation costs, power losses termed euphemistically as “line losses,” government-imposed taxes, and inefficiencies in the system. He argues that the burden falls disproportionately on consumers, compounding the hardships faced by ordinary Pakistanis already grappling with economic challenges.
Aqil emphasizes, “The current per unit price of electricity exceeds 60 rupees, rendering it unaffordable for the majority.” This situation not only hampers household budgets but also undermines industrial competitiveness, hindering economic growth and development.
Circular Debt and Economic Implications
The introduction of IPPs has also contributed to the accumulation of circular debt—a complex web of unpaid dues among consumers, government entities, and power producers. Aqil explains, “The take-or-pay contracts prevalent in Pakistan’s power sector require the government to pay for a minimum amount of electricity from IPPs, regardless of actual demand or consumption.” This contractual obligation has strained government finances, limiting its ability to implement subsidies or reduce electricity costs.
He further elaborates, “Revenue collection from consumers stands at only 60%, exacerbating financial pressures on the government to meet contractual obligations.” The mismatch between revenue collection and payment obligations perpetuates the cycle of circular debt, ultimately burdening taxpayers and undermining fiscal sustainability.
Challenges and the Way Forward
The energy crisis in Pakistan is compounded by a lack of cohesive energy policies, economic instability, technical deficiencies, reliance on costly fossil fuels, outdated infrastructure, power theft, and managerial inefficiencies. Aqil calls for a comprehensive review of IPP contracts to mitigate these challenges and restore fiscal stability in the energy sector.
In conclusion, Aqil urges transparency in the management of IPP contracts and accountability for those benefiting disproportionately from these arrangements. He advocates for policy reforms that prioritize affordability, sustainability, and equitable distribution of electricity resources to alleviate the plight of ordinary Pakistanis.